Selecting the right coins during a bull run can make all the difference.
And it’s also one of the most challenging tasks.

In this newsletter, we’ll explore how to easily analyze coins before investing and ensure you’re not misled into believing a coin could return to its all-time high (ATH) when, in reality, such an outcome is nearly impossible.

Launch Price

The first aspect you need to consider is the coin’s complete history.
Sometimes, at launch, the excitement from the public and the team’s projections can drive prices extraordinarily high. 

This surge often results in a temporary, inflated ATH before the coin settles back to its actual value.

The issue arises when people see this ATH and assume the coin will reach it again, prompting them to invest.

Spoiler alert: this doesn’t happen.

Take the case of ICP, for example. 

Launched during the rally of the 2021 market, it soared to an ATH of $750. 
It now trades at around $7.2, with a market cap of $3.45 billion.

Could it surge 100x to reclaim its ATH? 

While nothing is impossible, I wouldn’t bet a dollar on that.
(A market cap of $345 billion would surpass that of Ethereum 😅)

Supply Evolution

Another crucial metric to consider in a project is its supply evolution over time. 

Let’s break this down simply.
As more coins enter the market, it requires increasingly more liquidity to maintain the coin’s price since the market cap rises with each new token issued.

Consider Filecoin as a prime example:

• ATH market cap: $12.3 billion on April 17, 2021

• Price per coin at ATH: $183

• Supply at ATH (market cap / price): 67 million tokens

Current supply: 1.95 billion tokens — nearly a 30x increase!

This means it would now require 30 times the liquidity it did in 2021 just to reach the previous ATH of $183.

The situation is similar with Flow:

• 28 million tokens at its ATH in April 2021

• Current supply: 1.56 billion tokens

A 55x increase!!

Don’t be misled into thinking that just because a token is significantly below its all-time high (ATH) that it automatically represents a good investment.

When investing in a crypto, it’s crucial to examine both the price graph and the complete history of the project.

The more information you gather, the better equipped you are to make an informed decision. 

You can use resources like the CoinMarketCap website to search for any coin and analyze the data we’ve discussed.

Remarks: I am not a big fan of the projects listed nor am I invested in them. However, pointing out that they are unlikely to reach their ATH again does not mean they cannot perform well during this market run.

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TheCryptoPicks❤️.